[1]Gulen H,Ion M.Policy Uncertainty and Corporate Investment[J].The Review of Financial Studies,2016,29(3):523-564. [2]宫汝凯,徐悦星,王大中.经济政策不确定性与企业杠杆率[J].北京:金融研究,2019(10):59-78. [3]王东明,鲁春义.经济政策不确定性、金融发展与国际资本流动[J].北京:经济学动态,2019(12):75-93. [4]何富美,欧阳志刚,豆振江.经济政策不确定性是否抑制了中国银行信贷[J].南昌:当代财经,2019(12):61-72. [5]Leland H E.Saving and Uncertainty:The Precautionary Demand for Saving[J].The Quarterly Journal of Economics,1968,82(3):465-473. [6]陈国进,张润泽,赵向琴.政策不确定性、消费行为与股票资产定价[J].北京:世界经济,2017(1):116-141. [7]Fulford S L.The Surprisingly Low Importance of Income Uncertainty for Precaution[J].European Economic Review,2015,79(8):151-171. [8]Njindan Iyke B,Ho S Y.Consumption and Exchange Rate Uncertainty:Evidence from Selected Asian Countries[J].The World Economy,2019,12(6):1-26. [9]Shin S H,Kim K T.Perceived Income Changes,Saving Motives,and Household Savings[J].Journal of Financial Counseling and Planning,2018,29(2):396-409. [10]Nadenichek J.Consumer Confidence and Economic Stagnation in Japan[J].Japan and the World Economy,2007,19(3):338-346. [11]Easaw J Z,Garratt D,Heravi S M.Does Consumer Sentiment Accurately Forecast UK Household Consumption?Are There Any Comparisons to be Made with the US?[J].Journal of Macroeconomics,2005,27(3):517-532. [12]Hassett K A,Metcalf G E.Investment with Uncertain Tax Policy:Does Random Tax Policy Discourage Investment[J].The Economic Journal,1999,109(457):372-393. [13]Huang W L,Lin W Y,Ning S L.The Effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on China's Housing Market[J].The North American Journal of Economics and Finance,2018:54(c)100850. [14]Hsieh H C,Boarelli S,Vu T H C.The Effects of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Outward Foreign Direct Investment[J].International Review of Economics & Finance,2019, 64(11):377-392. [15]张夏,施炳展,汪亚楠,金泽成.经济政策不确定性真的会阻碍中国出口贸易升级吗?[J].北京:经济科学,2019(2):40-52. [16]Sinha A.Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Investor Expectations[J].Journal of Macroeconomics,2016,47(3):188-199. [17]张慧,江民星,彭璧玉.经济政策不确定性与企业退出决策:理论与实证研究[J].上海:财经研究,2018(4):116-129. [18]Park J S,Suh D.Uncertainty and Household Portfolio Choice:Evidence from South Korea[J].Economics Letters,2019,180(6):21-24. [19]Fernández-Villaverde J,Guerrón-Quintana P,Kuester K Ramirez J R.Fiscal Volatility Shocks and Economic Activity[J].American Economic Review,2015,105(11):3352-84. [20]Creal D D,Wu J C.Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Economic Fluctuations[J].International Economic Review,2017,58(4):1317-1354. [21]Julio B,Yook Y.Political Uncertainty and Corporate Investment Cycles[J].The Journal of Finance,2012, 67(1):45-83. [22]Konstantakis K N,Papageorgiou T,Michaelides P G,et al.Economic Fluctuations and Fiscal Policy in Europe:A Political Business Cycles Approach Using Panel Data and Clustering (1996-2013)[J].Open Economies Review,2015,26(5):971-998. [23]Del Negro M,Primiceri G E.Time Varying Structural Vector Autoregressions and Monetary Policy:A Corrigendum[J].The Review of Economic Studies,2015,82(4):1342-1345. [24]Baker S R,Bloom N,Davis S J.Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty[J].The Quarterly Journal of Economics,2016,131(4):1593-1636. [25]Huang Y,Luk P.Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty in China[J].China Economic Review,2020,59(2):101367. [26]李成.消费者信心能预测产出波动吗——来自中国的经验证据[J].北京:经济学动态,2016(12):88-97. [27]石自忠,王明利,胡向东.经济政策不确定性与中国畜产品价格波动[J].北京:中国农村经济,2016(8):42-55. [28]后小仙,马融,郑田丹.突发事件冲击与财政政策效应的动态评价[J].长春:当代经济研究,2021(4):93-104. [29]Nakajima J.Time-Varying Parameter VAR Model with Stochastic Volatility:An Overview of Methodology and Empirical Applications[J].Monetary and Economic Studies,2011,29(1):107-142. [30]Segal G,Shaliastovich I,Yaron A.Good and Bad Uncertainty:Macroeconomic and Financial Market Implications[J].Journal of Financial Economics,2015,117(2):369-397.
2022, Vol. 317 
